The McGraw-Hill Companies
United States | Change Register | Log In
MY HOME PAGE
PRODUCTS & SERVICES
RESEARCH & KNOWLEDGE
ABOUT S&P
     

Press Room

  Print this page

Ratings Lowered On 91 U.S. RMBS Subprime Classes Issued In 2006; 58 Subprime Ratings Affirmed

Publication Date:    Mar 17, 2008 15:18 EST

Ratings Lowered On 91 U.S. RMBS Subprime Classes Issued In 2006; 58 Subprime Ratings Affirmed
Primary Credit Analyst:
Andrew J Giudici, New York (1) 212-438-1659;
andrew_giudici@standardandpoors.com
Secondary Credit Analyst:
Ernestine Warner, New York (1) 212-438-2633;
ernestine_warner@standardandpoors.com
Publication date: 17-Mar-08, 15:18:35 EST
Reprinted from RatingsDirect


NEW YORK (Standard & Poor's) March 17, 2008--Standard & Poor's Ratings 
Services today lowered its ratings on 91 classes from 23 residential 
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions backed by U.S. subprime 
mortgage loan collateral issued in 2006. At the same time, we removed all of 
the lowered ratings from CreditWatch with negative implications. In addition, 
we affirmed our ratings on 58 classes from 20 RMBS transactions backed by U.S. 
subprime loans and removed them from CreditWatch negative (see list). All of 
the ratings had been placed on CreditWatch negative on Jan. 30, 2008.
     The downgrades reflect our opinion that projected credit support for the 
affected classes is insufficient to maintain the previous ratings, given our 
current projected losses. As announced in ?S&P Provides Projected Losses For 
U.S. RMBS Affected By Jan. 30, 2008, Rating Actions,? published Feb. 4, 2008, 
we calculated our projected deal-specific losses utilizing 2006 subprime 
default curves, which we published Oct. 19, 2007 (see the article, ?Standard & 
Poor?s Revised Default And Loss Curves For U.S. Subprime RMBS?). Due to 
current market conditions, we are assuming that it will take approximately 15 
months to liquidate loans in foreclosure and approximately eight months to 
liquidate loans categorized as real estate owned (REO). In addition, we are 
assuming a loss severity of approximately 45% for U.S. subprime RMBS 
transactions issued in 2006.
     The lowered ratings reflect our assessment of credit support under two 
constant prepayment rate (CPR) scenarios. The first scenario utilizes the 
lower of the lifetime or 12-month CPR, while the second utilizes a six-month 
CPR, which is very slow by historical standards. We assumed a constant default 
rate for each pool. Because the analysis focused on each individual class with 
varying maturities, prepayment scenarios may cause an individual class or the 
transaction itself to prepay in full before it incurs the entire loss 
projection. Slower prepayment assumptions lengthen the average life of the 
mortgage pool, which increases the likelihood that total projected losses will 
be realized. The longer a class remains outstanding, however, the more excess 
spread it generates. 
     Standard & Poor's has updated its projected excess spread to account for 
the recent cuts in U.S. interest rates. In an upwardly sloping mortgage rate 
environment, Standard & Poor's announced that it would be discounting a 
portion of excess spread to account for potential interest rate modifications. 
An interest rate modification may extend the initial fixed-rate period of a 
mortgage loan to five years from two and three years. The reduction in 
interest rates has effectively extended the initial interest rates beyond the 
interest rate reset period. As a result of the reduction in excess spread, 
many loan modifications may no longer be needed. Standard & Poor's has updated 
its assumptions on excess spread to reflect the current environment.
     In assessing the creditworthiness of each class, we reviewed the 
individual delinquency and loss trends of each transaction, changes, if any, 
in risk characteristics, servicing, and the ability to withstand additional 
credit deterioration. For pools that are continuing to show increasing 
delinquencies, we increased our cash flow stresses to account for potential 
increases in monthly losses. In order to maintain a rating higher than 'B', a 
class had to absorb losses in excess of the base case assumption we assumed in 
our analysis. For example, a class may have to withstand 115% of our base case 
loss assumption in order to maintain a 'BB' rating, while a class had to 
withstand 125% of our base case loss assumption to maintain a 'BBB' rating. 
Each class that has an affirmed 'AAA' rating can withstand approximately 150% 
of our base case loss assumptions under our analysis, subject to individual 
caps assumed on specific transactions. We determined the caps by limiting the 
amount of remaining defaults to 90% of the current pool balances.
     Credit support for these transactions is provided through a combination 
of subordination, excess spread, and overcollateralization. The underlying 
collateral for these transactions consists of fixed- and adjustable-rate U.S. 
subprime mortgage loans that are secured by first and second liens on one- to 
four-family residential properties.
     To date, including the classes listed below and actions on both publicly 
and confidentially rated classes, we have resolved the CreditWatch placements 
of 137 classes from 23 U.S. RMBS subprime transactions from the 2006 and 2007 
vintages. Currently, our ratings on 2,455 classes from 492 U.S. RMBS subprime 
transactions from the 2006 and 2007 vintages are on CreditWatch negative.
     Standard & Poor's will continue to monitor the RMBS transactions it rates 
and take rating actions, including CreditWatch placements, when appropriate. 
For additional information and updates on Standard & Poor's residential 
mortgage-related rating actions, please visit RatingsDirect, at 
www.ratingsdirect.com, or www.spviews.com.
 
RATINGS LOWERED AND REMOVED FROM CREDITWATCH NEGATIVE
 
ABFC Trust
                            Rating
Series       Class    To              From
2006-OPT2    M-1      BB              AA+/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    M-2      B               AA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    M-3      CCC             AA-/Watch Neg
     
ACE Securities Corp Home Equity Loan Trust
                            Rating
Series       Class    To              From
2006-ASAP4   M-2      BBB             AA+/Watch Neg 
2006-ASAP4   M-3      BB              AA+/Watch Neg 
2006-ASAP4   M-4      B               AA/Watch Neg  
2006-ASAP4   M-5      B               AA/Watch Neg  
2006-ASAP4   M-6      CCC             AA-/Watch Neg  
2006-NC1     M-4      BBB             AA/Watch Neg
2006-NC1     M-5      B               AA-/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-1A     A               AAA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-1B     A               AAA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-2D     A               AAA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     M-1      B               AA+/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     M-2      B               AA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     M-3      CCC             AA-/Watch Neg
 
Argent Securities Trust 
                         Rating
Series    Class    To              From
2006-W1   M-3      BBB             AA/Watch Neg
2006-W1   M-4      B               AA/Watch Neg
 
Asset Backed Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust
                              Rating
Series         Class    To              From
OOMC 2006-HE5  M-2      BBB             AA/Watch Neg 
OOMC 2006-HE5  M-3      B               AA-/Watch Neg 
 
FFMLT Trust
                          Rating
Series      Class    To            From
2006-FF4    M-3      BBB           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-FF4    M-4      BB            AA/Watch Neg  
2006-FF4    M-5      B             AA-/Watch Neg   
2006-FF13   A-1      BBB           AAA/Watch Neg  
2006-FF13   A-2D     BBB           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-FF13   M-1      BB            AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-FF13   M-2      B+            AA+/Watch Neg   
2006-FF13   M-3      B             AA/Watch Neg   
2006-FF13   M-4      CCC           AA/Watch Neg 
2006-FF13   M-5      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg
 
Fremont Home Loan Trust 2006-A
                       Rating
Series   Class    To            From
2006-A   M-2      B             AA/Watch Neg    
 
GSAMP Trust 2006-HE5
                       Rating
Series    Class    To           From
2006-HE5  M-2      A            AA/Watch Neg    
2006-HE5  M-3      BB           AA/Watch Neg   
2006-HE5  M-4      B            AA/Watch Neg   
 
Home Equity Asset Trust 2006-5
                       Rating
Series   Class    To            From
2006-5   M-1      AA-           AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-5   M-2      BB            AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-5   M-3      B             AA/Watch Neg    
2006-5   M-4      CCC           AA/Watch Neg   
2006-5   M-5      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg
 
IXIS Real Estate Capital Trust 2006-HE2
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-HE2   M-1      BB            AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-HE2   M-2      CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-HE2   M-3      CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-HE2   M-4      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg  
 
Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust
                       Rating
Series   Class    To            From
2006-1   M-2      BBB           AA+/Watch Neg
2006-1   M-3      B+            AA/Watch Neg
2006-1   M-4      B             AA/Watch Neg    
2006-1   M-5      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg  
2006-6   I-A      AA            AAA/Watch Neg.    
2006-6   II-A4    AA            AAA/Watch Neg.    
2006-6   M-1      BB            AA+/Watch Neg.  
2006-6   M-2      B             AA+/Watch Neg.    
2006-6   M-3      CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-6   M-4      CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-6   M-5      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg  
2006-WL3 M-2      AA-           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-WL3 M-3      BB            AA-/Watch Neg    
 
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-FM1   M-1      AA-           AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-FM1   M-2      BB            AA/Watch Neg    
2006-FM1   M-3      B             AA-/Watch Neg 
2006-HE6   A-1      AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-HE6   A-2C     AA            AAA/Watch Neg      
2006-HE6   M-1      BBB           AA+/Watch Neg     
2006-HE6   M-2      B             AA/Watch Neg       
2006-HE6   M-3      CCC           AA-/Watch Neg   
 
Morgan Stanley ABS Capital I Inc. Trust
                       Rating
Series     Class   To            From
2006-WMC2  A-1     BB            AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-WMC2  A-2C    AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-WMC2  A-2D    BB            AAA/Watch Neg  
2006-WMC2  M-1     B             AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-WMC2  M-2     CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-WMC2  M-3     CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
 
RAMP Trust 2006-NC2 
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-NC2   M-2      BBB           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-NC2   M-3      BB            AA/Watch Neg  
2006-NC2   M-4      B             AA-/Watch Neg    
 
RASC Trust
                        Rating
Series     Class   To            From
2006-KS9   A-I-4   AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-KS9   A-II    AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-KS9   M-1S    BB            AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-KS9   M-2S    B             AA/Watch Neg    
2006-KS9   M-3S    CCC           AA/Watch Neg    
2006-KS9   M-4     CCC           AA-/Watch Neg  
 
Securitized Asset Backed Receivables LLC Trust
                         Rating
Series     Class    To           From
2006-OP1   M-4      A             AA-/Watch Neg
2006-WM4   A-1      BB            AAA/Watch Neg
2006-WM4   A-2C     A             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-WM4   A-2D     BB            AAA/Watch Neg
   
Structured Asset Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan Trust
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-BC1   A-1      AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   A-2      AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   A-6      AA            AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   M-1      BBB           AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   M-2      B             AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   M-3      CCC           AA+/Watch Neg    
2006-BC1   M-4      CCC           AA/Watch Neg  
2006-BC1   M-5      CCC           A/Watch Neg
 
RATINGS AFFIRMED AND REMOVED FROM CREDITWATCH NEGATIVE
 
ABFC Trust
                            Rating
Series       Class    To              From
2006-OPT2    A-1      AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    A-2      AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    A-3A     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    A-3B     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    A-3C     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-OPT2    A-3D     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
 
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust 
                            Rating
Series       Class    To              From
2006-NC1     M-2      AA              AA/Watch Neg
2006-NC1     M-3      AA              AA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-2A     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-2B     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
2006-NC3     A-2C     AAA             AAA/Watch Neg
 
Argent Securities Trust 
                         Rating
Series    Class    To              From
2006-W1   M-2      AA+             AA+/Watch Neg
 
Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust  
                        Rating
Series    Class    To           From
2006-HE3  M-3      AA-          AA-/Watch Neg
 
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust
                        Rating
Series      Class   To           From
2006-WFHE3  M-2     AA           AA/Watch Neg
2006-WFHE3  M-3     AA-          AA-/Watch Neg
 
FFMLT Trust
                          Rating
Series      Class    To            From 
2006-FF13   A-2A     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-FF13   A-2B     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg  
2006-FF13   A-2C     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg      
 
Fremont Home Loan Trust
                       Rating
Series   Class    To            From
2006-A   1-A-1    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-A   1-A-2    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-A   2-A-2    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-A   2-A-3    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-A   2-A-4    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-A   M-1      AA            AA/Watch Neg    
 
GSAMP Trust
                       Rating
Series    Class    To           From
2006-HE5  M-1      AA+          AA+/Watch Neg
 
IXIS Real Estate Capital Trust 
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-HE2   A-1      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-HE2   A-2      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg
2006-HE2   A-3      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg
2006-HE2   A-4      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg
 
Long Beach Mortgage Trust
                       Rating
Series   Class    To            From
2006-1   I-A      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-1   II-A2    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-1   II-A3    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg   
2006-1   II-A4    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-1   M-1      AA+           AA+/Watch Neg  
2006-6   II-A1    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-6   II-A2    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-6   II-A3    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
 
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-FM1   A-2A     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-FM1   A-2B     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-FM1   A-2C     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-FM1   A-2D     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-FM1   A-1      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-HE6   A-2A     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-HE6   A-2B     AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
 
Morgan Stanley ABS Capital I Inc. Trust 
                       Rating
Series     Class   To            From
2006-WMC2  A-2FPT  AAA           AAA/Watch Neg    
2006-WMC2  A-2A    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg   
2006-WMC2  A-2B    AAA           AAA/Watch Neg   
 
RAMP TRUST
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-NC2   M-1      AA+           AA+/Watch Neg 
 
RASC TRUST
                        Rating
Series     Class   To            From
2006-KS9   A-I-1   AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-KS9   A-I-2   AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-KS9   A-I-3   AAA           AAA/Watch Neg
 
Securitized Asset Backed Receivables LLC Trust 
                         Rating
Series     Class    To           From
2006-OP1   M-2      AA+          AA+/Watch Neg 
2006-OP1   M-3      AA           AA/Watch Neg
2006-WM4   A-2A     AAA          AAA/Watch Neg
2006-WM4   A-2B     AAA          AAA/Watch Neg 
 
Structured Asset Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan Trust
                         Rating
Series     Class    To            From
2006-BC1   A-3      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-BC1   A-4      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg 
2006-BC1   A-5      AAA           AAA/Watch Neg

Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor's may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process.

Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor's reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.