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Does Bigger Always Mean Better? Sizing Up The Impact Of Size On Municipal Ratings
Primary Credit Analysts:
Jane Hudson Ridley, Chicago (1) 312-233-7012;
jane_ridley@standardandpoors.com
James Wiemken, Chicago (1) 312-233-7005;
james_wiemken@standardandpoors.com
Publication date: 22-Apr-08, 09:01:09 EST
Reprinted from RatingsDirect


Small municipalities are often perceived as having weaker credit quality due to their smaller tax and population bases. In reality, however, many credits exhibit strong and stable credit quality despite their smaller bases. After reviewing the historical performance of general obligation credits and the relevance of size on credit quality, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services will reduce the significance of size in its analysis where the circumstances warrant and adjust ratings as appropriate.


Characteristics Of A Small Community

We consider a municipality with fewer than 15,000 residents to be small and a total market value of less than $500 million to constitute a small or limited tax base. While there are some obvious differences between smaller and larger municipalities, including the likelihood of higher tax-base concentration and the nominal magnitude of financial reserves in the former, these differences don't necessarily imply that smaller issuers should have weaker ratings. A small municipality can exhibit many of the same economic strengths as a larger one, and can have a similar, if not better, financial profile. In the final analysis, an issuer with strong credit factors has the same opportunity to achieve a higher rating as its larger counterparts, but how it gets there may be different.


What does Standard & Poor's look for in highly-rated smaller municipalities?

The qualities found in a highly-rated small issuer are similar to highly-rated larger-size issuers: economic strength, above-average financial performance, strong management, and manageable debt levels. However, the way toward reaching these performance benchmarks can be different for smaller municipalities. Some of these differences are:

  • The relative economic strength of a smaller municipality may be based on its proximity to a larger economic center, provided that its own local economic base is also stable.
  • Financial performance depends not only on the level of reserves but also on cost pressures and budgeting flexibility. Many smaller governments have fewer responsibilities than their larger counterparts, which can mean less budgetary pressure and volatility. High fund balances on a dollar basis aren't the only way to demonstrate financial strength; operational or budgeting flexibility or a demonstrated ability to implement other creative solutions can also elevate credit quality.
  • Management practices at governments of all sizes show their strengths through a variety of planning and policy techniques as measured by Standard & Poor's Financial Management Assessment (FMA). While smaller governments may lack the staff to justify the maintenance of intricate policies and reporting mechanisms, more limited policies and planning may still be adequate for the existing level of operating risk. Policies and processes identified through the FMA help demonstrate the overall strengths of a municipality, regardless of size.
  • While a lower population or market value can lead to higher debt ratios on a per capita or market value basis, the capital pressures facing a smaller municipality are often lower than on a larger entity.

What could depress the rating of a smaller municipality?

A smaller municipality can be highly rated if it is able to overcome the credit factors that typically constrain a rating. A smaller-size municipality's tax base isn't automatically a negative factor, particularly if the composition of the base is diverse. However, a smaller base can also lead to more tax base concentration, given that there are fewer taxpayers. Like size, concentration in and of itself doesn't have a negative impact on the rating. However, should the dominant taxpayer(s) close or scale back operations to the point where it hurts the local economy -- and consequently the municipality's financial position -- the rating could be affected.

Similarly, a limited budget size with little operational flexibility and a susceptibility to revenue and expenditure pressures -- without ample financial cushion -- can also weigh on the rating. Pressure can come from unexpected capital expenditures, which could have a more significant impact on a small government. For instance, a new police car costs the same amount regardless of the population size it serves; if the purchase is not budgeted, the toll on a smaller budget could be significant.

High debt levels, either on a per capita or market value basis, or high carrying charges that push up fixed costs in a small budget, can also hurt ratings. Higher fixed costs can result in less budget flexibility and a greater burden on the taxpayers. While debt is only one factor in Standard & Poor's analysis, a smaller municipality with an onerous debt burden is likely to have a lower rating.

While none of the issues discussed is radically different from our analysis of larger issuers, it is important to note that the way economic and financial stability can be measured is different. Stability and flexibility can be of even greater importance for municipalities that don't exhibit as much diversity as larger ones, or those that rely on an economy they have little or no control over, such as a neighboring metropolitan area. Even with these potential challenges, smaller municipalities have the ability to achieve higher ratings, making the case that size isn't really everything.


Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor's may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process.

Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor's reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.